Image: © Billy Hathorn via Wikimedia Commons

Britain’s about to have the hottest October in years

But it's not as good as it sounds.

There'll be daily temperatures around 20℃ in the south... and huge storms in the north.

What it means: You might want to start thinking up a sick-day story your boss will believe, because weather forecasters reckon we’re going to have nicer weather than Portugal for the next few weeks, with temperatures getting up to 25℃. That might seem like nothing compared to the summer we’ve just had (the hottest for 108 years) but it’s warmer than Britain’s got at this time of year since 2011. The Met Office (our national weather reporters) also thinks there’s a 60-80 percent chance that we’ll have warmer-than-normal weather all the way up to Christmas.

You’d probably think it’d take an especially miserable person to be unhappy about sunshine. Enter economists (they don’t call this the dismal science for nothing). Basically, the problem is this: October’s warm weather is being caused by a tropical storm (that’s one step down from a hurricane) that’s currently over by the Canary Islands but has been sending some nice warm air our way. Unfortunately, it’s also sending over 80mph winds and heavy rain, which is going to batter the north of Britain. That’s likely to cause floods, “travel chaos”, damage to buildings and “danger to life”. None of this is good for individual people or the economy as a whole.

And it could be even worse (yeah, we’re really determined to suck all the joy out of this mini heatwave for you). Most scientist think all the unusual weather we’ve been having is because climate change is making all types of weather more extreme - so hot spells are getting hotter, cold spells colder, hurricanes and tropical storms more powerful etc. And lots of economists agree that climate change is going to be very, very bad for lots of parts of the economy, like farming and water supply and productivity and infrastructure and lots of other important stuff.

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Reader Comments

  • RW

    Your right to a degree. You mentioned “the wandering Jew”.

    I elaborate that the Jewish people, historically have tended to migrate almost exclusively to locations that are economically and culturally vibrant already. I would speculate that Jews have thrived in these places and have often improved the bounds of their economies and knowledge base.

    You can also ask; how many massive entertainment conglomerates, Nobel winners or billionaires has Isreal developed? If Jews are so capable, why isn’t Tel Aviv the Rome of our time?

    Jews are successful because they value education, maintain a strong social cohesive, they actively monitor and have a good sense for Zeitgeist wherever they are and they carefully choose the places they settle and congregate themselves heavily in these choice locations.

    But most importantly (haulocaust increased the importance of this aspect), they actually designed their culture for success. They not only attend Harvard, they use what they learned to better the group as a whole. With as much, they studied intricate networking systems, adapted to it and in many cases improved upon them. (See how Japan acquired Aegis warships and made them better).

    Of course there is nothing wrong with any of this. It’s when you elaborately gain disproportionate power in any society where you would stand out, you must take care when attempting to make a society better (Civil Rights movement) and rewriting that society all together (mass immigration). Ask blacks in China, Mexico, Philippines or India how much opportunity they have? Go to businesses owned by their American diaspora and see how many blacks they hire. Go to Silicon Valley and see how many East or South Asian tech workers wish they could work with more black people. California might work as a state, but as a nation, I think your rolling the nuclear dice here. I hope we can succeed as a tolerant pluralistic superpower but at this stage in human societal development, it’s a pipe dream.

    And if Jews really are the icon for success, they would see that fundamental human successes happen over generations. Just look at the rest of the planet? Are we ready?